Guess First: 2026 Studies on Quizzes & Memory

Most of us play trivia the cautious way. We wait, we think, and if we are not fairly sure, we stay quiet — better no answer than a wrong one. Two studies published in 2026 suggest that instinct is costing us twice. Guessing before you know the answer turns out to make the answer stick better when it arrives. And taking quizzes in a game format, it turns out, can make people less anxious about tests, not more.

Neither study is about trivia night, exactly. One is about language learning, the other about university physiotherapy students. But both are really about what happens in the seconds around a question — which is the whole game here at DayQ. Here is what they found, what they did not find, and how to use it on your next daily question.

Study one: the wrong guess that helps you remember

In March 2026, Assistant Professor Steven Pan and Master's student Tabitha Chua of the National University of Singapore published a set of experiments in the journal Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications (March 6, 2026), summarized in an NUS release via Newswise.

The setup was simple. Across four controlled experiments, 341 adults with no prior knowledge of Spanish learned Spanish nouns one of two ways:

The team varied the direction of the exercise — word to image, and image to word — because language apps use both. Memory was then tested two ways: cued recall (produce the answer from memory) and multiple-choice recognition.

The result was consistent: the guess-first group recalled the words more accurately, in both directions and on the tests used. The wrong guesses did not hurt. Committing to an answer first — even a shot in the dark — made the correct answer land harder when feedback followed immediately.

Learning scientists call this the pretesting effect, and it is worth separating from the idea in our earlier article on why trivia sticks. That article was about retrieval practice: pulling an answer out of memory after you have learned it. Pretesting happens before learning. You attempt, you miss, and the miss itself seems to prime the brain to encode the correction. Pan's own summary of the mechanism, in plain terms: trying first makes you search memory and engage with the material, so the feedback that follows gets encoded more deeply than it does after passive study.

One honest limit: this was vocabulary learning with word–picture matching, tested over short intervals. It does not prove that guessing first helps with every kind of fact, forever. But it is the first clean experimental confirmation, as the researchers note, for the exact kind of guessing task that language apps — and daily trivia — are built on.

Study two: game quizzes, lower test anxiety

The second study is fresher still. Published on October 14, 2026 in BMC Medical Education, researchers Elif Durgut and Sefa Yildirim at Bezmialem Vakif University in Istanbul ran a randomized controlled trial of game-style quizzing — the kind where you answer on your phone, against the clock, with a leaderboard.

131 undergraduate physiotherapy students were randomly split between a group that took its formative quizzes in the game platform Kahoot (65 students) and a group that took identical quizzes on paper (66 students). Same questions, same content, four consecutive weeks. The researchers measured test anxiety as the primary outcome, plus state and trait anxiety, stress coping, motivation, satisfaction, and perceived knowledge retention.

The headline: the game-quiz group ended with significantly lower test anxiety than the paper group, in a baseline-adjusted analysis. Secondary measures — state anxiety, stress-coping scores, motivation, satisfaction, and perceived retention — also favored the game group.

Now the caveats, because the authors state them clearly and so should we:

Read fairly, the study says something narrower and still useful: the same quiz, dressed as a game instead of a form, was easier on students' nerves. Format is not decoration. It changes how a question feels.

Meanwhile, in the trivia world: Masters season

If you want proof that high-level trivia in 2026 runs on exactly these mechanics — commit fast, get feedback instantly, keep the stakes playful — television supplied it this summer. Jeopardy! Masters returned on August 25, 2026 on ABC with six top champions — Yogesh Raut, Juveria Zaheer, Victoria Groce, Andrew He, Paolo Pasco, and Long Nguyen — playing nine hour-long episodes for $500,000 and the Trebek Trophy. The format awards match points per game (3 for a win, 1 for second, 0 for third), which is a polite way of saying: answer, be wrong sometimes, and keep playing. Nobody on that stage waits until they are certain. Certainty is what the buzzer punishes.

How to use this at DayQ (and anywhere else)

You do not need an app redesign to apply two studies. You need a small change in order:

  1. Commit before you peek. On today's question, say an answer out loud or write it down before you hit Reveal. A stated guess engages the pretesting effect; a vague "I was about to say that" does not.
  2. Take the feedback immediately. In the NUS experiments, feedback came right after the guess. Our answer box does the same — read the explanation while the sting of the miss is fresh. That sting is the encoding working.
  3. Keep the frame playful if tests make you tense. The Istanbul trial is a reminder that low-stakes, game-like quizzing is a feature, not a compromise. A daily question with no score attached is a reasonable way to practice being wrong cheaply.
  4. Do not confuse confidence with memory. Perceived retention is not retention — the trial's own warning. If a fact matters, test yourself on it again later, cold. DayQ's archive and categories pages make that easy to do by topic.
  5. Steal this for hosting, too. If you run a quiz night, our guide to hosting a trivia night covers pacing and fairness — add this year's lesson: invite a committed guess from every table before answers are read, and keep the tone game-like. Wrong answers, handled quickly, are teaching moments, not embarrassments.
Quiz: In the 2026 NUS experiments, learners who did what before seeing the correct word–picture pairing remembered more words later? Answer: They guessed. Making a multiple-choice guess first — pretesting — beat study-only viewing across four experiments with 341 adults.

FAQ

Is pretesting the same as the testing effect?

No. The testing effect (retrieval practice) is about answering questions on material you have already studied. Pretesting is attempting an answer before studying, then getting feedback. The 2026 NUS study is about the second one.

Does guessing first work if my guess is completely random?

In these experiments, yes — participants knew no Spanish at all, so early guesses were effectively shots in the dark, and the benefit still appeared. The attempt plus immediate feedback is what mattered, not the quality of the guess.

Did the Kahoot trial prove game quizzes make you learn more?

No, and the authors do not claim it did. It showed lower test anxiety as the primary outcome; the learning-related measure was perceived retention, a self-report. Treat it as evidence about anxiety and motivation, not about test scores.

How big were these studies?

The NUS work: four experiments, 341 adults total. The Istanbul trial: 131 students in one randomized trial over four weeks. Both are solid, specific, and narrow — good reasons to try the techniques, not proof they work for everything.

Go deeper with AI

This article is the starting point. Copy any of these prompts into your favorite AI assistant to learn more about guessing first, pretesting, and low-anxiety quizzing:

🔎 Turn anything you're learning into guess-first drills

I'm learning [your topic, e.g. "Japanese vocabulary" or "wine regions"]. Use the pretesting effect: give me 10 multiple-choice questions on material I have NOT studied yet, one at a time. Do not teach first. After each of my guesses, reveal the correct answer with a one-line explanation, then continue. At the end, re-test me on the 5 I missed, in a different order, without showing the answers until I commit.

🧭 Fact-check the 2026 claims like a skeptic

Here are two claims from 2026 research: (1) an NUS study in Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications (March 2026, Pan & Chua, 341 adults) found guessing with feedback before study improved Spanish vocabulary recall versus study-only; (2) a BMC Medical Education randomized trial (October 2026, 131 physiotherapy students) found Kahoot quizzes lowered test anxiety versus paper quizzes, but measured retention only by self-report. For each claim, tell me: what the study design can and cannot prove, the biggest limitation, and what a replication would need to show to convince you.

💡 Build a low-anxiety daily quiz habit

Design a 14-day daily trivia habit for me based on two ideas: pretesting (commit to a guess before seeing any answer) and low-stakes game framing (no scores kept, misses treated as data). My interests are [list 3 topics]. Give me a daily 5-minute routine, a simple way to log which guesses I missed, and a day-7 and day-14 cold re-test plan using only my missed questions.

Tip: replace the bracketed parts with your own situation — the more specific your prompt, the more useful the answer.

Summary

Two 2026 studies bracket the life of a trivia question. Before the answer: guessing first helps — in four NUS experiments (341 adults, published March 6, 2026), a guess followed by immediate feedback produced better recall than studying the same word–picture pairs passively, a clean confirmation of the pretesting effect for app-style tasks. Around the answer: format matters — in an Istanbul randomized trial of 131 physiotherapy students (BMC Medical Education, October 14, 2026), identical quizzes delivered as a game produced significantly lower test anxiety than paper quizzes, though the trial measured perceived, not objective, retention. Jeopardy! Masters' August 2026 season runs on the same principles at championship level: commit fast, take the feedback, keep playing.

The single most important takeaway: never wait until you are sure — commit to a guess before you look, because the attempt itself is what makes the correct answer memorable.

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Sources

Published October 15, 2026